๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Martinez 35 3-12 3-9 4-5 6 4 1 0 2 13 10 -
Mason Falslev 35 9-19 3-10 1-3 7 1 4 0 3 22 12 -
Karson Templin 21 4-7 0-1 3-6 9 1 1 0 0 11 15 -
Deyton Albury 21 3-8 0-3 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
Jordy Barnes 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Dexter Akanno 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Tucker Anderson 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
Drake Allen 13 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 -
Aubin Gateretse 13 2-2 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 0 1 7 9 -
Isaac Davis 12 0-1 0-1 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Isaac Johnson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Lake 36 5-8 2-4 2-3 2 2 0 0 4 14 6 -
Nique Clifford 35 7-13 3-4 9-13 11 6 1 0 4 26 27 -
Kyan. Evans 34 4-6 4-5 2-3 2 3 1 0 3 14 11 -
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 26 1-5 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 3 0 4 7 -
Ethan Morton 18 2-2 0-0 3-6 2 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
Rashaan Mbemba 17 1-2 0-0 3-7 2 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Nikola Djapa 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Bowen Born 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Keshawn Williams 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Kyle Jorgensen 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter