Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 37 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Andrew Meadow | 36 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | +3.0 |
| RJ Keene | 29 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -2.1 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 25 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +0.5 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.2 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Javan Buchanan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Julian Bowie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 38 | 8-17 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 21 | +0.2 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 35 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Tru Washington | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +18.2 |
| C.J. Noland | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -13.4 |
| Braden Appelhans | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Kayde Dotson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
* = starter