Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Davidson | 38 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Kobe Sanders | 38 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | -1.4 |
| Tyler Rolison | 37 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Xavier DuSell | 32 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -6.9 |
| Justin McBride | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +5.3 |
| Brandon Love | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -14.6 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jeriah Coleman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 37 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 30 | +3.3 |
| Kyan. Evans | 35 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | +12.5 |
| Jalen Lake | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +19.8 |
| Ethan Morton | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7.3 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +8.2 |
| Nikola Djapa | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Keshawn Williams | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Bowen Born | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -7.7 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
* = starter