Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (52-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 38 | 4-13 | 4-13 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | +10.1 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 36 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +10.4 |
| Andrew Meadow | 35 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +13.7 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +3.8 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +8.5 |
| RJ Keene | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Javan Buchanan | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Julian Bowie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman-Jones | 34 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -10.3 |
| Miles Heide | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Miles Byrd | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Nick Boyd | 30 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | -5.3 |
| BJ Davis | 25 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | -3.2 |
| Taj Degourville | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Wayne Mckinney Iii | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Pharaoh Compton | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2.6 |
* = starter