Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor | 37 | 8-16 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | -1.4 |
| Jeffrey Mills | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Will Cooper | 28 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Kyle Marshall | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Caleb Walker | 14 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Beau Becker | 11 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Chase Beasley | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.3 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hill | 40 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 28 | +1.1 |
| Jaden Henley | 38 | 4-15 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Jailen Bedford | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +8.6 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -13.2 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.9 |
| DeMarion Yap | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.5 |
* = starter