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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +15 (63-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Davis 37 2-6 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
Darius Hannah 35 7-11 1-2 4-7 2 1 2 2 1 19 14 +0.8
Duke Deen 31 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 1 8 8 +0.9
Jaquan Johnson 27 0-3 0-2 3-4 2 4 2 0 2 3 6 -2.1
Zek Montgomery 27 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 -3 +0.9
Ahmet Jonovic 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 +2.8
Demarion Burch 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Corey Thomas 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.1
Almar Atlason 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8
Sam Hennessy 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Cade Hardtke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Connor Linke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Goanar Biliew 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Connor Dillon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mitch Mascari 40 1-6 0-4 4-4 3 2 4 0 1 6 8 -0.1
Bennett Stirtz 40 7-13 5-7 5-6 4 4 1 2 1 24 21 -0.8
Tavion Banks 33 5-7 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 1 1 13 18 -0.9
Cam Manyawu 26 4-8 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 1 9 6 -2.8
Daniel Abreu 20 1-5 0-2 2-4 3 0 1 2 0 4 5 -2.7
Kael Combs 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.0
Isaiah Jackson 14 2-2 1-1 0-2 0 2 1 0 0 5 6 -0.7
Isaia Howard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -0.1
Nate Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

* = starter