Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Ferguson | 40 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -1.9 |
| JaCobi Wood | 38 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Kylen Milton | 33 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 10-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | -7.5 |
| Nick Ellington | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | -5.9 |
| Terence Harcum | 31 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | -2.6 |
| Alden Applewhite | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.2 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Hannah | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | +11.1 |
| Duke Deen | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +7.5 |
| Zek Montgomery | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | +6.5 |
| Christian Davis | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaquan Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +0.8 |
| Ahmet Jonovic | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +0.8 |
| Corey Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Almar Atlason | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Demarion Burch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Timoty van der Knaap | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Connor Dillon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter