Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +21 (74-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Cuff | 40 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -17.4 |
| Tayshawn Comer | 40 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 12-13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | -17.4 |
| Joshua Hughes | 38 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -13.6 |
| Connor Turnbull | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -5.2 |
| Gabriel Pozzato | 29 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Kaia Berridge | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Gui Tesch | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11.2 |
| Michael Day | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Trent Hundley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.7 |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum | 34 | 10-11 | 7-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 26 | +25.1 |
| JaCobi Wood | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +18.9 |
| Nick Ellington | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +27.0 |
| Kylen Milton | 29 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 18 | +12.0 |
| AJ Ferguson | 26 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +13.6 |
| Justin Morgan | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +11.7 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -8.7 |
| Chiang Ring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Jordan McCullum | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Mason Shubert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| John McCrear | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Patrick Chew | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter