Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron Hobbs | 38 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | +2.3 |
| Will Thomas | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Rob Lawson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Trent Edwards | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Amahrie Simpkins | 20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -5.2 |
| Tytan Newton | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jaden Martin | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kiran Oliver | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.9 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ings | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Kuluel Mading | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Jaylani Darden | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Chris Fields Jr. | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Terrance Jones | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Jalen Myers | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Tyrel Bladen | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.2 |
| Sin'Cere McMahon | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
* = starter