Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Dola Adebayo | 35 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 9-12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +3.9 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Javon Ervin | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Malcolm Dread | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Patrick Haigh | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Trey Wilson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli | 37 | 5-19 | 3-15 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 37 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -3.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 36 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Elijah Lewis | 33 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jason Schofield | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | -4.4 |
| Jackson Price | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Tarik Watson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Travis Roberts | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Trace Salton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter