Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats | 40 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -2.7 |
| Brendan Coyle | 38 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Gavin Doty | 38 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | -2.7 |
| Peter Carey | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -0.2 |
| Major Freeman | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Reid Ducharme | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Tajae Jones | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 39 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Zion Cruz | 32 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 26 | -3.5 |
| Flash Burton | 30 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Jay Alvarez | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Tank Byard | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +5.2 |
| Cole McCabe | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.1 |
| Ife West-Ingram | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter