Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Bello | 37 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Quinton Morton-Robertson | 36 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | -2.7 |
| Jalen Jackson | 30 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Maximus Nelson | 29 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +11.9 |
| Chandler Cuthrell | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -4.5 |
| Corey Hadnot II | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -15.5 |
| Eric Mulder | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Trey Lewis | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +8.4 |
| Chris Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.1 |
| Deangelo Elisee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Galette | 36 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 21 | +4.6 |
| Juwan Maxey | 35 | 0-12 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | +6.2 |
| Jason Nelson | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Cris Carroll | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -9.7 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Ty Harper | 24 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Gabe Dynes | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +5.0 |
| David Wilkerson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Christian Kirkland | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter