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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model IU Indianapolis Jaguars Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“

Actual: Wright State Raiders +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Craig 37 7-9 3-4 0-0 7 5 1 0 1 17 20 -16.0
A. Millender 37 3-5 2-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 10 13 -16.8
P. Zilinskas 37 4-15 2-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 12 1 -4.7
J. Walker 31 7-15 2-3 4-8 1 2 0 0 1 20 7 -15.3
K. Garner 27 6-6 1-1 1-1 2 2 3 1 2 14 14 -8.8
R. Rutland III 18 3-6 3-5 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 9 5 -0.6
T. Brown 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -9.1
C. Hannah 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keaton Norris 34 5-11 4-8 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 16 12 +4.3
Brandon Noel 31 7-9 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 2 17 11 +3.3
Jack Doumbia 30 8-8 1-1 6-8 12 7 1 2 3 23 34 +8.0
Alex Huibregtse 28 6-13 4-11 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 16 9 +7.2
Michael Imariagbe 25 5-6 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 0 2 12 14 +15.7
Solomon Callaghan 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 0 4 +15.7
Logan Woods 19 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 8 7 +5.4
Andrew Welage 8 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 +8.2
Braden Grant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

* = starter