Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Swenson | 36 | 9-23 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Cole Anderson | 31 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | -7.8 |
| Kenny Pohto | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Colin Smith | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Ben Shtolzberg | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Jason Fontenet II | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -1.7 |
| Max Murrell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Deuce Turner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Koat Keat Tong | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Zion Sensley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keonte Jones | 37 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 19 | +1.2 |
| Scotty Washington | 33 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -1.0 |
| PJ Fuller II | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -0.4 |
| Tyler Beard | 23 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Grady Lewis | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Jordan Brinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Judson Martindale | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter