Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje | 34 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 12-14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 25 | -5.6 |
| Steven Crowl | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Carter Gilmore | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +1.8 |
| John Blackwell | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Kamari McGee | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Max Klesmit | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Jack Janicki | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +7.5 |
| Nolan Winter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Xavier Amos | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.0 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Richardson | 31 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | -4.2 |
| Jaden Akins | 28 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | +13.2 |
| Carson Cooper | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | +14.8 |
| Tre Holloman | 26 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +10.4 |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +7.7 |
| Coen Carr | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +2.1 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Frankie Fidler | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Szymon Zapala | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Xavier Booker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -3.6 |
* = starter