Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +23 (88-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boswell | 36 | 6-16 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | -16.2 |
| W. Riley | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -16.2 |
| K. Jakucionis | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | -28.4 |
| M. Johnson Jr. | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -28.0 |
| B. Humrichous | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.0 |
| T. White | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -14.3 |
| T. Ivisic | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -10.5 |
| J. Davis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6.0 |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -8.3 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Geronimo | 26 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +10.6 |
| J. Gillespie | 25 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +27.0 |
| S. Miguel | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +23.8 |
| R. Rice | 24 | 8-12 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | +29.7 |
| D. Queen | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | +25.7 |
| J. Reese | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +21.1 |
| D. Harris-Smith | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +14.4 |
| J. Young | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| T. Gapare | 11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +3.7 |
| M. Palmer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.2 |
* = starter