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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—

Actual: UCLA Bruins -16 (70-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Tonje 28 9-10 6-6 2-3 9 4 1 0 1 26 29 +31.7
John Blackwell 27 6-11 4-8 2-3 5 4 0 0 4 18 12 +28.1
Kamari McGee 22 4-5 3-3 3-4 1 4 1 0 1 14 14 +12.0
Carter Gilmore 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 5 +13.5
Steven Crowl 20 5-7 3-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 13 8 +1.8
Max Klesmit 20 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -1 +5.0
Xavier Amos 19 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 3 1 8 8 +16.8
Nolan Winter 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 2 9 +8.5
Jack Janicki 15 0-3 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2.5
Markus Ilver 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -10.6
Chris Hodges 2 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.6
Daniel Freitag 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.7
Jack Robison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.8
Isaac Gard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Johnson 31 5-9 4-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 14 10 -4.6
Skyy Clark 31 3-10 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 2 -18.0
Sebastian Mack 25 5-14 2-8 6-8 2 0 0 0 1 18 5 -8.5
Dylan Andrews 23 2-8 2-5 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 7 1 -8.3
William Kyle III 21 2-4 0-0 5-11 4 1 0 2 0 9 12 +4.4
Tyler Bilodeau 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 2 6 -13.8
Eric Dailey Jr. 15 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 -4 -7.5
Trent Perry 15 2-5 0-2 5-5 4 1 1 1 1 9 10 -0.7
Aday Mara 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 4 9 -9.4
Lazar Stefanovic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -2.1
Jack Seidler 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +7.6

* = starter