Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shelstad | 35 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -4.4 |
| N. Bittle | 34 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | -2.0 |
| TJ Bamba | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | +2.0 |
| K. Barthelemy | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -3.8 |
| B. Angel | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1.0 |
| K. Evans Jr. | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4.4 |
| J. Tracey | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.8 |
| R. Moss | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.2 |
| S. Cook | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richardson | 31 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -3.1 |
| J. Akins | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +19.1 |
| J. Fears Jr. | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +14.0 |
| J. Kohler | 26 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +7.3 |
| C. Carr | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +10.4 |
| C. Cooper | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.4 |
| T. Holloman | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -6.2 |
| S. Zapala | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.4 |
| F. Fidler | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +3.7 |
| X. Booker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
* = starter