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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 39 7-14 0-2 8-11 7 1 0 0 0 22 16 +4.2
Matthew Nicholson 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 2 6 -2.6
K.J. Windham 29 5-9 2-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 4 14 9 +4.6
Justin Mullins 28 2-8 1-4 1-2 4 1 0 2 2 6 3 +1.9
Jordan Clayton 27 3-10 2-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 10 7 +5.0
Ty Berry 25 2-8 0-3 5-5 6 0 0 0 4 9 3 -9.2
Angelo Ciaravino 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -8.4
Luke Hunger 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 +0.8
Keenan Fitzmorris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9
Blake Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.9

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Tonje 32 7-14 2-5 2-2 7 1 2 0 0 18 14 +1.3
Steven Crowl 30 2-7 1-2 2-2 7 3 0 1 4 7 7 -4.3
John Blackwell 27 3-10 1-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 8 2 +6.5
Nolan Winter 26 4-5 1-2 9-10 6 2 2 0 2 18 21 +18.7
Max Klesmit 24 3-5 1-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 0 9 9 -2.4
Carter Gilmore 20 0-3 0-3 2-4 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -9.3
Kamari McGee 19 3-7 2-4 0-1 3 1 1 0 2 8 4 +10.6
Jack Janicki 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.8
Xavier Amos 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.6
Markus Ilver 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Daniel Freitag 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Chris Hodges 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9
Camren Hunter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

* = starter