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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Galloway 35 6-18 2-6 1-1 4 9 0 0 5 15 5 -8.5
L. Goode 33 0-5 0-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 1 -9.7
A. Leal 31 2-3 0-0 0-2 8 2 3 0 0 4 14 -7.9
M. Rice 28 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 1 1 0 1 -19.6
M. Reneau 24 8-15 0-1 3-3 3 1 0 1 1 19 8 -12.5
M. Mgbako 23 5-10 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 12 9 -1.4
O. Ballo 20 4-11 0-0 0-2 8 2 2 0 4 8 5 -4.0
K. Carlyle 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.0

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shelstad 38 6-13 2-6 4-4 3 2 1 0 3 18 8 +10.7
N. Bittle 36 2-8 1-4 2-2 8 6 3 2 1 7 17 +16.7
TJ Bamba 33 6-9 1-1 4-7 5 1 1 0 1 17 14 +16.0
K. Barthelemy 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 9 6 +11.0
K. Evans Jr. 23 1-3 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 8 +14.7
J. Tracey 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 3 4 +10.4
B. Angel 18 6-8 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 14 7 +0.4
S. Cook 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Moss 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter