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2025-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 24.4% 75.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Sandfort 36 6-14 2-7 3-3 3 2 2 0 2 17 8 -
Josh Dix 36 7-13 2-5 0-1 2 4 1 2 2 16 10 +8.0
Ladji Dembele 28 2-2 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 1 0 8 17 +5.7
Drew Thelwell 26 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 0 +1.1
Brock Harding 22 5-6 3-3 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 15 11 +6.8
Pryce Sandfort 20 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Seydou Traore 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 4 8 +14.4
Even Brauns 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 0 2 6 +3.3
Carter Kingsbury 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Thornton 38 8-13 1-3 7-7 3 9 0 0 4 24 19 -9.1
Devin Royal 37 7-12 0-3 3-4 6 1 1 0 0 17 13 -4.1
Micah Parrish 35 6-14 1-6 3-3 0 1 2 0 1 16 4 +1.1
John Mobley Jr. 29 2-10 2-8 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 8 -3 -6.9
Aaron Bradshaw 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 0 4 -1.5
Sean Stewart 15 1-2 0-0 0-4 4 0 1 0 1 2 4 -3.4
Evan Mahaffey 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -7.3
Ques Glover 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 3 -1.2
Colin White 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.2

* = starter