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2025-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% - โœ—
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Martinelli 40 12-22 0-3 4-10 7 3 1 0 2 28 15 +7.5
Ty Berry 36 4-12 4-10 2-4 7 3 0 0 5 14 7 +10.4
Jordan Clayton 34 5-7 1-2 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 11 12 +7.6
Matthew Nicholson 32 2-5 0-1 3-4 7 3 1 3 0 7 16 +13.0
Justin Mullins 25 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 2 7 +5.1
K.J. Windham 24 3-6 1-3 3-4 0 4 0 0 0 10 8 +1.3
Luke Hunger 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Angelo Ciaravino 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.0
Keenan Fitzmorris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dawson Garcia 40 7-13 2-2 6-6 7 3 0 0 2 22 17 -5.9
Lu'Cye Patterson 34 1-6 0-3 3-4 3 2 3 1 2 5 6 -0.5
Femi Odukale 24 1-3 0-1 2-3 1 4 1 0 1 4 6 -15.1
Brennan Rigsby 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 4 -3.5
Mike Mitchell Jr. 21 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 11 4 +0.3
Isaac Asuma 20 3-9 1-4 1-2 3 0 1 2 0 8 5 -1.4
Frank Mitchell 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 3 3 6 +2.2
Parker Fox 19 1-5 0-1 4-4 4 0 0 2 1 6 6 -9.8

* = starter