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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jones 37 10-22 3-12 1-2 7 2 0 0 3 24 8 -11.3
D. Joplin 32 3-12 1-7 2-2 9 2 2 1 6 9 5 -6.6
S. Mitchell 32 2-6 1-2 6-8 4 0 1 0 1 11 9 -16.0
C. Ross 25 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 1 4 0 3 8 6 -7.0
Z. Lowery 22 3-6 0-2 1-4 6 0 0 2 2 7 7 -1.2
B. Gold 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 0 6 -6.4
R. Parham 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -6.7
D. Owens 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -4.2
T. Norman 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.6
C. Hamilton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.4

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Ejiofor 38 11-15 0-2 11-12 9 3 1 0 1 33 30 +15.5
R. Luis 37 4-18 0-3 5-7 7 2 2 0 1 13 5 +22.5
K. Richmond 36 5-10 0-0 2-5 10 6 3 1 2 12 20 +21.9
A. Scott 35 4-12 3-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 11 2 +1.7
S. Wilcher 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 7 2 +6.1
D. Smith 21 1-6 1-3 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 3 3 +14.7
S. Ibine Ayo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +3.9
L. Liotopoulos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
V. Iwuchukwu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
R. Prey 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter