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Butler Bulldogs 57
@
St. John's Red Storm 78
2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 7.5% 92.5% - ✓
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.5 ✓ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% - ✓

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McCaffery 32 6-10 4-7 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 16 11 -9.7
J. Telfort 29 3-10 1-5 4-6 4 3 2 0 4 11 6 -15.5
P. Brooks 28 1-10 0-5 3-3 5 1 1 0 2 5 0 -13.0
B. Kapke 27 3-6 2-5 0-3 6 0 0 0 0 8 8 -0.9
K. King 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 0 -1 -14.8
F. Bizjack 19 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 10 6 -3.4
L. Moore 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -10.9
A. Screen 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 3 4 -16.3
E. Haywood 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 +1.5
E. McComb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Luis 31 8-18 2-3 2-2 7 0 1 1 2 20 9 +30.6
S. Wilcher 30 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 1 +15.6
K. Richmond 29 7-13 0-2 1-1 8 9 1 1 2 15 19 +27.7
Z. Ejiofor 26 2-4 0-0 0-1 7 2 0 0 2 4 7 +17.9
A. Scott 22 6-10 3-6 0-0 4 1 5 0 0 15 15 +16.4
L. Liotopoulos 15 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 6 -9.6
S. Ibine Ayo 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -8.2
D. Smith 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 6 +2.0
V. Iwuchukwu 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 +4.7
R. Prey 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter