Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +28 (82-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Webber | 38 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | -17.4 |
| J. Bascoe | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -2.2 |
| R. Allen | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -3.5 |
| J. Green | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6.7 |
| K. Orihel | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -12.5 |
| M. Burke | 21 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -14.6 |
| D. Carter | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -9.1 |
| L. Edmanson | 16 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
| D. Ceseretti | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.8 |
| B. Power-Cassidy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.9 |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fudd | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +18.8 |
| P. Bueckers | 33 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | +16.3 |
| S. Strong | 28 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 31 | +12.3 |
| A. Shade | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +22.8 |
| KK Arnold | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.6 |
| J. El Alfy | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +19.1 |
| K. Chen | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +20.6 |
| I. Brady | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +1.6 |
| A. Ziebell | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Q. Samuels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| C. Ducharme | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter