🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 6.4% 93.6% -
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% -
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hammond III 35 2-13 0-4 5-5 4 3 3 0 3 9 3 -3.4
A. Jakimovski 32 8-15 4-9 5-5 8 0 4 0 0 25 22 -2.7
RJ Smith 30 1-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 5 4 -10.5
T. Baskin 25 2-2 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 0 5 7 6 +7.0
B. Dak 22 4-10 0-2 2-5 4 0 2 0 2 10 4 -2.1
E. Malone 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -13.4
F. Kossaras 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 +0.3
J. Ruffin 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -9.9
A. Diop 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -3.6
S. Rancik 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.2
H. Carrington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Cryer 35 4-11 2-6 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 14 5 +11.2
M. Uzan 28 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 14 6 +2.3
J. Tugler 28 4-6 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 3 0 10 18 +9.8
E. Sharp 27 6-10 4-7 3-5 5 1 3 0 1 19 17 +13.7
M. Wilson 24 1-5 0-1 0-2 4 2 3 0 2 2 4 -1.6
T. Arceneaux 18 2-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 8 6 +9.9
J. Roberts 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 +6.3
J. Francis 12 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -0.8
M. Miller 9 0-0 0-0 2-6 3 0 0 1 0 2 6 -1.5
K. Jefferson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter