Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reed | 34 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -15.6 |
| D. Thomas | 32 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -21.3 |
| S. Lukosius | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -15.0 |
| D. Mitchell | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -20.2 |
| J. James | 29 | 6-20 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | -9.2 |
| A. Bandaogo | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -4.0 |
| D. Skillings Jr. | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -5.5 |
| T. Betsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 36 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | +19.5 |
| M. Momcilovic | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 5 | +15.7 |
| T. Lipsey | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +6.4 |
| C. Jones | 28 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +16.8 |
| D. Jackson | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | +25.6 |
| N. Heise | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +12.7 |
| B. Chatfield | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
| K. Gilbert | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.9 |
| C. Kelderman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter