Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | โ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | โ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | โ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | โ |
Actual: VCU Rams +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Maddox | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +3.8 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 31 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Jared Billups | 30 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Jalen Haynes | 28 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Zach Anderson | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Woody Newton | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.9 |
| K.D. Johnson | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Justin Begg | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga | 37 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Jack Clark | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | +1.4 |
| Zeb Jackson | 29 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +9.6 |
| J. Bamisile | 28 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Phillip Russell | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Christian Fermin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Belle | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Brandon Jennings | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
* = starter