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2025-03-16

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Maddox 34 4-10 2-5 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 12 6 +3.8
Brayden O'Connor 31 3-8 2-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 10 8 +1.6
Jared Billups 30 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 1 5 6 +0.6
Jalen Haynes 28 5-14 1-1 6-9 8 2 1 0 3 17 11 +3.4
Zach Anderson 24 3-6 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 1 0 10 14 +6.7
Woody Newton 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 3 1 1 3 4 -3.9
K.D. Johnson 16 0-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 2 -2 -2.0
Giovanni Emejuru 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -3.1
Justin Begg 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2.7

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Shulga 37 4-9 2-6 8-9 4 3 1 0 2 18 15 +2.1
Jack Clark 35 4-8 3-5 6-7 6 1 2 3 0 17 21 +1.4
Zeb Jackson 29 1-7 1-6 2-2 5 3 2 1 3 5 6 +9.6
J. Bamisile 28 6-10 1-3 4-6 3 2 0 0 4 17 8 -5.5
Luke Bamgboye 28 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 4 1 5 14 +1.3
Phillip Russell 15 2-7 1-5 1-1 1 0 1 0 3 6 -2 -4.9
Christian Fermin 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Michael Belle 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 +0.5
Brandon Jennings 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7

* = starter