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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Saint Joseph's Hawks Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—

Actual: Dayton Flyers -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Joseph's Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xzayvier Brown 43 5-17 2-6 8-8 7 2 1 0 1 20 12 +5.1
Erik Reynolds II 39 7-23 3-12 4-6 7 1 0 0 2 21 4 -1.5
Rasheer Fleming 37 1-7 0-4 4-4 10 0 1 2 1 6 11 +6.9
Anthony Finkley 34 1-6 0-4 2-5 7 2 2 1 1 4 9 +4.8
Justice Ajogbor 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 7 0 6 14 +0.6
Derek Simpson 27 3-4 3-3 2-3 4 1 1 0 3 11 10 +7.7
Dasear Haskins 16 2-2 1-1 0-2 2 1 2 0 0 5 8 +10.2

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Enoch Cheeks 43 3-8 0-2 3-3 9 2 0 3 2 9 13 -2.7
Nate Santos 42 5-14 3-7 1-4 15 2 1 1 2 14 17 +1.6
Javon Bennett 39 6-14 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 15 6 +1.5
Malachi Smith 35 5-14 1-4 0-1 2 5 1 0 1 11 4 -0.2
Amael L'Etang 29 5-14 2-6 3-3 6 2 0 4 2 15 11 -4.1
Zed Key 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -1.1
Jacob Conner 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -5.4
Posh Alexander 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -7.2
Jaiun Simon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.1

* = starter