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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Dinkins 32 4-11 1-7 1-3 6 3 0 1 4 10 5 -8.4
Jakub Necas 27 3-9 1-4 2-3 10 0 2 1 0 9 13 +5.4
Maximus Edwards 26 7-12 3-7 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 18 11 -3.8
Kareem Rozier 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.6
Cameron Crawford 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 4 4 2 +7.8
Eli Wilborn 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 3 6 5 -10.8
Matus Hronsky 21 4-9 3-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 11 5 -5.6
David Dixon 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 3 1 5 +1.4
Jahsean Corbett 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3.9

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lajae Jones 40 6-15 4-8 2-2 8 0 3 0 0 18 14 +4.4
Melvin Council Jr. 40 7-14 0-2 4-5 2 2 4 2 3 18 11 +4.4
Chance Moore 36 2-7 0-2 2-2 7 1 1 1 0 6 9 +6.5
Noel Brown 32 4-9 0-0 1-2 8 3 0 0 3 9 8 +2.1
Jonah Hinton 29 3-11 1-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 7 0 +7.3
Noah Bolanga 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 3 4 -3.1
Duane Thompson 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +2.2

* = starter