Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.3% | 35.7% | -3.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 36 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | +4.5 |
| J. Donovan | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | +7.0 |
| O. Okananwa | 33 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | +17.9 |
| R. Richardson | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +8.9 |
| T. Fournier | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +15.2 |
| D. Thomas | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -5.1 |
| T. Mair | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +8.0 |
| E. Koabel | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
| V. de Jesus | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
| J. Wood | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +10.2 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 37 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | -7.8 |
| M. Hayes | 37 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -7.7 |
| Z. Brooks | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -8.5 |
| A. James | 36 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | -4 | -8.8 |
| T. Trygger | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Z. Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.3 |
| L. Awou | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| D. Quigley | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.2 |
* = starter