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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jackson 35 3-17 1-12 5-6 4 3 1 0 3 12 0 +8.6
O. Okananwa 31 3-3 2-2 6-6 7 3 0 0 4 14 17 +13.2
J. Donovan 31 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 5 4 5 +2.9
D. Thomas 27 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 0 0 8 15 -0.3
R. Richardson 21 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 5 3 +0.4
T. Mair 20 2-8 0-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 4 4 -2.0
T. Fournier 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 0 +8.8
V. de Jesus 14 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 7 1 +5.8
J. Wood 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +5.6
E. Koabel 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hidalgo 38 9-22 0-1 5-5 2 3 6 0 2 23 10 -5.2
S. Citron 35 3-9 1-6 2-2 1 2 4 2 2 9 7 +4.3
M. Westbeld 27 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 4 0 3 0 -4 +2.3
O. Miles 26 3-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 10 5 -7.7
C. Prosper 21 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -7.7
L. Karlen 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -11.8
L. King 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 +1.9
K. Koval 15 3-4 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 2 7 2 -4.9

* = starter