Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Roberts | 37 | 2-13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3 | -7.2 |
| M. Randolph | 35 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -9.0 |
| J. Williams | 32 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -4 | -3.9 |
| O. Cochran | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +6.8 |
| N. Harris | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -11.5 |
| I. Arenas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -11.3 |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -14.3 |
| I. Juffermans | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| I. Berry | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | +6.6 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5.3 |
| J. Donovan | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +6.7 |
| T. Mair | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | +4.8 |
| R. Richardson | 29 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | +8.3 |
| T. Fournier | 24 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +12.8 |
| O. Okananwa | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | +11.6 |
| D. Thomas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
| J. Wood | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| V. de Jesus | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.4 |
| E. Koabel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
* = starter