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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
ELO 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
KenPom Style 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
T. Roberts 37 2-13 2-7 2-3 3 2 1 4 8 -3
M. Randolph 35 5-7 1-1 2-2 2 2 2 13 8
J. Williams 32 3-13 -1 - 4 3 1 5 6 -4
O. Cochran 26 4-10 - 3-3 11 3 11 9
N. Harris 24 2-6 - - 1 1 1 2 4 -1
I. Arenas 16 - - - 1 3 -2
E. Istanbulluoglu 10 1-3 - - 3 2 2
I. Juffermans 10 1-1 - 2-3 2 4 5
I. Berry 10 -4 -1 - 1 1 2 -4

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Jackson 32 4-9 3-7 - 1 2 1 1 1 11 6
J. Donovan 29 2-3 - - 3 3 1 4 1 4 11
T. Mair 29 3-7 -1 - 7 4 3 5 6 8
R. Richardson 29 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 2 1 3 12 4
T. Fournier 24 3-11 - 4-8 8 3 1 1 10 10
O. Okananwa 20 4-7 1-2 4-5 3 3 13 6
D. Thomas 16 1-3 - 1-2 3 1 2 3 2
J. Wood 11 1-1 - - 2 1 2 4
V. de Jesus 8 - - -2 2 1 1 2
E. Koabel 2 -1 -1 - -1

* = starter