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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 19.7% 80.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Roberts 37 2-13 2-7 2-3 3 2 1 0 4 8 -3 -7.2
M. Randolph 35 5-7 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 13 8 -9.0
J. Williams 32 3-13 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 6 -4 -3.9
O. Cochran 26 4-10 0-0 3-3 11 0 0 0 3 11 9 +6.8
N. Harris 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -11.5
I. Arenas 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -11.3
E. Istanbulluoglu 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -14.3
I. Juffermans 10 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 +2.6
I. Berry 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 +6.6

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jackson 32 4-9 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 11 6 +5.3
J. Donovan 29 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 4 1 4 11 +6.7
T. Mair 29 3-7 0-1 0-0 7 4 3 0 5 6 8 +4.8
R. Richardson 29 4-11 2-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 12 4 +8.3
T. Fournier 24 3-11 0-0 4-8 8 0 3 1 1 10 10 +12.8
O. Okananwa 20 4-7 1-2 4-5 3 0 0 0 3 13 6 +11.6
D. Thomas 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 2 -3.0
J. Wood 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 +5.2
V. de Jesus 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 +4.4
E. Koabel 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.8

* = starter