Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fagbemi | 40 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Nehemiah Turner | 37 | 13-15 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 41 | +6.0 |
| Elias Cato | 33 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Cole McCormick | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Michael Evbagharu | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Owen Derhmann | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Ben Fox | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +3.5 |
| U. Etim | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Diogo Seixas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehki Ellison | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Jordan Wood | 32 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | -7.5 |
| Jamie Phillips Jr. | 26 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -13.2 |
| Josh Massey | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Treyton Thompson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Tristan Gross | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Blaize Sagna | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Finley Sheridan | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.0 |
* = starter