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2025-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -
Points Off/Def 20.4% 79.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Edwards 40 12-29 5-12 0-1 6 3 1 0 0 29 10 -1.3
C. Hepburn 40 5-16 1-8 3-4 4 3 1 0 3 14 3 +0.5
J. Hadley 38 2-5 0-2 2-4 5 1 1 1 3 6 6 -4.0
J. Scott 32 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 1 1 6 6 -2.2
N. Waterman 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 +1.8
A. Traore 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 +2.5
K. Rooths 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 0 4 -8.1

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Knueppel 38 6-12 0-5 6-6 8 3 2 0 2 18 17 +8.4
T. Proctor 37 6-14 6-14 1-5 1 2 1 0 0 19 9 +8.3
S. James 33 3-7 2-2 7-7 6 2 0 0 1 15 15 +11.4
K. Maluach 27 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 2 1 8 14 -7.5
M. Gillis 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 +9.4
I. Evans 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 3 -0.4
P. Ngongba II 14 1-4 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 3 1 7 7 +12.7
C. Foster 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 1 -9.6
S. Hubbard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter