Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis | 37 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +0.4 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers | 34 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Drake Powell | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| V. Lubin | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Elliot Cadeau | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Seth Trimble | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Ian Jackson | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Jalen Washington | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Sallis | 40 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Tre'Von Spillers | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Cameron Hildreth | 33 | 4-15 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Efton Reid | 32 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Juke Harris | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +0.5 |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Omaha Biliew | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Parker Friedrichsen | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
* = starter