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California Golden Bears 73
@
Stanford Cardinal 78
2025-03-12

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - ✓
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 ✓ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - ✓

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Tucker 37 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 4 1 3 2 6 -
Rytis Petraitis 36 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 +3.3
DJ Campbell 36 8-20 1-8 2-4 10 1 1 0 2 19 9 +1.0
Andrej Stojakovic 34 13-22 4-7 7-8 5 1 0 0 2 37 19 -0.2
Mady Sissoko 30 4-4 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 4 11 12 +3.7
Vladimir Pavlovic 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.0
Lee Dort 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -2.3
Spencer Mahoney 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.0

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Raynaud 38 9-19 3-8 2-3 8 2 2 1 3 23 14 -0.5
J. Blakes 37 7-12 1-2 6-7 3 6 3 0 1 21 20 -0.3
Oziyah Sellers 34 4-13 3-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 13 4 +0.7
B. Gealer 24 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 9 -0.7
C. Okpara 24 5-5 1-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 12 9 -0.7
D. Young 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 6 -
R. Agarwal 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 0 -2 -1.2
A. Cammann 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter