Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Greene | 32 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +6.6 |
| K. Ivey | 31 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -7.3 |
| T. Sidberry | 29 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -12.9 |
| D. Waggoner | 27 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -4.9 |
| T. Todd | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +0.0 |
| S. Samuel | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -0.2 |
| K. Jackson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +4.9 |
| A. Daley | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -1.4 |
| J. Thompson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6.7 |
| N. Ndiaye | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +8.1 |
| A. Tomlinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Nivar | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +10.2 |
| L. Grant | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -7.6 |
| G. Townsend | 29 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | -4.5 |
| L. Donarski | 28 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +2.0 |
| M. Gakdeng | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| A. Ustby | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +17.0 |
| T. Crisp | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -6.9 |
| B. Thomas | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| C. Toomey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
| J. Zubich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| L. Hull | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
* = starter