Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 33 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 26 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 25 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Timpson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 35 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 34 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 34 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 31 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Kosu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter