Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -28 (75-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 33 | 9-17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 34 | - |
| C. Gray | 33 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 26 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| J. Loyd | 27 | 7-17 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Nye | 19 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Stokes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Barker | 38 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Plum | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Hamby | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| R. Burrell | 27 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| A. Stevens | 26 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Feagin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Pili | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Brink | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter