Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +19 (72-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Salaun | 30 | 1-12 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 24 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 22 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Monique Billings | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Leite | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kate Martin | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Chen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 30 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 29 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 28 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 24 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| A. Smith | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Kosu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter