Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 33 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 29 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Julie Allemand | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 29 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 27 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Brink | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Barker | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satou Sabally | 25 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | - |
| A. Thomas | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 19 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| K. Laksa | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 15 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 10 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
* = starter