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2025-09-07

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +14 (91-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Siegrist 31 6-14 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 13 5 -
P. Bueckers 31 6-8 0-0 6-6 6 7 0 1 1 18 23 -
H. Jones 31 3-9 0-2 0-1 6 5 2 1 6 6 5 -
M. Hines-Allen 30 5-16 1-4 4-4 13 7 1 1 1 15 20 -
G. Berger 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 7 9 -
A. Okonkwo 19 2-7 1-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
A. James 10 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Williams 9 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Miller 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
A. Petty 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Allemand 35 8-8 3-3 2-2 1 4 5 0 0 21 23 -
A. Stevens 30 5-11 1-5 2-2 11 2 2 0 1 13 16 -
D. Hamby 25 6-15 1-1 2-5 8 4 1 1 1 15 13 -
K. Plum 24 4-14 2-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 12 0 -
R. Burrell 23 4-12 2-6 3-3 2 3 3 0 1 13 8 -
R. Jackson 22 4-10 1-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 11 5 -
S. Barker 16 0-4 0-3 0-2 4 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Brink 15 3-7 0-3 0-2 9 2 0 1 0 6 11 -
J. Vanloo 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Feagin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Pili 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter