Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✓ (24.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -29 (65-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 26 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 25 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 20 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 20 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Timpson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Hall | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 32 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 27 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Dolson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Olsen | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter