Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 29 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 28 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 28 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 24 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Kosu | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 35 | 12-15 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 34 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jackie Young | 33 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dana Evans | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Nye | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter