Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston | 36 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 35 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 34 | 11-20 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 25 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 24 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter