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2025-08-31

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% -
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% -
Log Adjusted 57.4% 42.6% -
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hull 33 2-5 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 8 8 -
K. Mitchell 33 4-14 2-10 4-4 2 3 2 0 3 14 4 -
A. Boston 30 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 4 6 -
O. Sims 30 1-10 1-5 2-2 2 5 1 0 0 5 3 -
N. Howard 25 5-9 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 0 5 13 6 -
A. Powers 19 6-13 1-5 4-6 4 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
B. Turner 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
S. Peddy 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dantas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Burton 35 3-9 0-1 2-2 7 13 1 2 5 8 17 -
I. Rupert 32 8-12 5-8 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 21 11 -
T. Fagbenle 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 6 5 -
J. Salaun 29 3-8 3-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 10 6 -
K. Charles 28 4-7 1-2 0-0 7 0 3 0 3 9 9 -
C. Leite 21 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
K. Martin 15 3-4 3-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
L. Amihere 10 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -

* = starter