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2025-08-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (29.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +37 (99-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Citron 27 3-7 1-2 4-4 2 3 1 0 5 11 5 -
A. Clark 26 0-4 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
K. Iriafen 25 4-8 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
S. Sutton 25 6-10 3-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 17 9 -
L. Olsen 20 5-12 1-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 13 4 -
J. Melbourne 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 2 2 -
E. Engstler 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Dolson 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Austin 15 2-7 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 1 0 6 5 -
M. Scott 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Salaun 29 7-11 4-7 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 20 12 -
I. Rupert 27 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 7 10 -
K. Charles 25 7-12 2-6 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 16 10 -
L. Amihere 24 4-7 1-2 2-2 6 1 4 0 0 11 15 -
V. Burton 22 3-5 2-3 7-7 5 5 1 2 2 15 21 -
K. Martin 21 2-6 0-4 2-3 2 5 1 0 0 6 8 -
T. Fagbenle 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 5 6 -
C. Leite 19 5-5 1-1 8-9 0 6 0 0 1 19 19 -
K. Chen 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Hall 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter