Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -24 (70-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 32 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| N. Collier | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| K. McBride | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Smith | 25 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Carleton | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Carrington | 17 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Shepard | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Kosu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Charles | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| L. Lacan | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| L. Allen | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Rivers | 22 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| A. Morrow | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Edwards | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Toure | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Marshall | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter