Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +22 (100-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Siegrist | 35 | 10-17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Grace Berger | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 30 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Okonkwo | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 21 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Ch. Williams | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Sundell | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 37 | 9-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 36 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Paopao | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 17 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Kone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter